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The effect of mixed orientation on the accuracy of a forecast model for building integrated photovoltaic systems

Abstract

BIPVs (Building Integrated Photovoltaics) are expected to dominate the solar industry in urban areas, especially in connection with zero-emission buildings. They allow the use of mixed orientations which result in multiple generation peaks throughout the day that can precisely match the consumption profile of the building. Multiple generation peaks however make the design of an accurate PV (Photovoltaic) output power forecasting tool a complex task. This paper, therefore, aims to quantify the effect of these mixed orientations on the accuracy of such prediction models for a 181.15 kWp BIPV located in Trondheim, Norway. The results show that a forecast model that has a complete perception of all the mixed orientations reduced the RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) forecast error by 34%. The findings in this work have important implications for developing a practical energy management system that is common in the operation of BIPVs. © 2023 The Author(s)
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Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

  • Berhane Darsene Dimd
  • Steve Völler
  • Ole-Morten Midtgård
  • Alexis Gerard Edouard Sevault

Affiliation

  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology
  • SINTEF Energy Research / Termisk energi

Year

2023

Published in

Energy Reports

ISSN

2352-4847

Publisher

Elsevier

Volume

9

Page(s)

202 - 207

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