Scenarios for the future distribution grid anno 2030-2040
Challenge and objective
Grid companies, technology providers, market operators etc. need a robust strategy for the cost-efficient transition to the future flexible, intelligent and robust grid. Driving forces and scenarios for the future grid is a useful foundation for this strategy.
Work performed
In 2018-2019, with updates in 2022, driving forces for intelligent electricity grid system innovation were identified and mini scenarios developed through a foresight process. Based on this, four main scenarios are established.
Significant results
The two dimensions 'grid customer' and the 'grid' stand out as the most important for the development of the future electricity grid.
Four scenarios for the future electricity distribution grid in Norway anno 2030-2040 are described: Automated grid, Flexible and intelligent grid, Distribution grid as back-up and Business as usual.
Impact for distribution system innovation
The scenarios are used as a basis for research and development strategies, human resources, and expertise development, developing demonstration and pilot cases, and the overall company strategies.
