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Stochastic energy market equilibrium modeling with multiple agents

Abstract

The energy markets are characterized by many agents simultaneously solving decision problems under uncertainty. It is argued that Monte Carlo simulations are not an adequate way to assess behavioral uncertainty; one should rather rely on stochastic modelling. Drawing on economics, decision theory and operations research, a simple guide on how to transform a deterministic energy market equilibrium model - where several agents simultaneously make decisions - into a stochastic equilibrium model is offered. With our approach, no programming of a stochastic solution algorithm is required.
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Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

  • Kjell Arne Brekke
  • Rolf Golombek
  • Michal Kaut
  • Sverre A.C. Kittelsen
  • Stein W. Wallace

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Industry / Sustainable Energy Technology
  • University of Oslo
  • Norwegian School of Economics
  • Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research

Date

12.06.2017

Year

2017

Published in

Energy

ISSN

0360-5442

Volume

134

Page(s)

984 - 990

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository