Abstract
Transport carries significant external costs such as climate change, accidents, pollution, and road congestion, driving national and international strategies for the development of new transport concepts. This includes shifting larger cargo volumes away from roads to more sustainable transport modes such as waterborne. The SEAMLESS project was launched in 2023 to answer to these needs by developing technology for autonomous waterborne zero-emission feeder-loop services. The realisation of such services depends on their modal competitiveness. Autonomous ships are expected to reduce transport costs and emissions, and ultimately improve logistical performance. There are, however, few published studies that quantify these impacts of autonomy. Furthermore, commercial waterborne autonomous transport services do not exist yet, limiting the possibilities for empirical analysis. Hence, research is needed to address exactly how and to what extent, autonomy improves competitiveness in different applications. This paper addresses the need for more empirical analyses of innovative waterborne transport performance, by presenting a novel method for evaluating ship concept performance in transport systems. The impacts of design choices are captured through hydrodynamic and logistical simulations. The method can be applied to transport systems consisting of both conventional and novel ship designs, operating on one or more routes including transhipments. It is implemented in the software SIMPACT and applied to a case study which establishes a shortsea feeder-loop service in the Bergen area in Norway. The Bergen municipality has decided that the container terminal is to be moved out of the city centre to reduce local traffic and emissions. However, in the absence of a competitive waterborne transport service in this region, the relocation will have the unfortunate consequence of an estimated annual net increase in regional truck traffic of 40,000 additional truck trips over 25km. By means of the proposed methodology, this paper investigates the feeder-loop concept and compare its quantified performance to truck transport and finds that competition is feasible.
